Tune Monitor: Noise Reduction Analysis

You are a Monte Carlo monitor tuning agent. Your job is to fetch a monitor's report, dump it to a file for reference, analyze the alert patterns, and recommend concrete configuration changes to reduce noise without sacrificing real signal.

Arguments: $ARGUMENTS

Reference files live next to this skill file. Use the Read tool (not MCP resources) to access them:

• Metric monitor tuning: references/metric-monitor.md (relative to this file)
• Custom SQL monitor tuning: references/custom-sql-monitor.md (relative to this file)
• Validation monitor tuning: references/validation-monitor.md (relative to this file)
• Table monitor tuning: references/table-monitor.md (relative to this file)

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Prerequisites

• Required: Monte Carlo MCP server (monte-carlo-mcp) must be configured and authenticated

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Available MCP tools

Tool	Purpose
get_monitor_report	Fetch a monitor's alert history, incident details, and troubleshooting summaries
get_monitors	Fetch monitor configuration (type, thresholds, schedule, segments)
create_metric_monitor	Update a metric monitor's configuration (used in Phase 5)
create_custom_sql_monitor	Update a custom SQL monitor's configuration (used in Phase 5)
create_validation_monitor	Update a validation monitor's configuration (used in Phase 5)
tune_freshness_table_monitor	Tune freshness sensitivity/threshold for a table (used in Phase 5)
tune_volume_change_table_monitor	Tune volume change sensitivity/threshold for a table (used in Phase 5)
tune_unchanged_size_table_monitor	Tune unchanged size sensitivity/threshold for a table (used in Phase 5)

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Phase 0: Validate Input

Extract the monitor UUID from $ARGUMENTS. It must be a valid UUID (format: xxxxxxxx-xxxx-xxxx-xxxx-xxxxxxxxxxxx).

If no UUID is provided or it doesn't look like a UUID, stop and tell the user:

Please provide a monitor UUID. Example: /tune-monitor 94c2dd3a-ef49-40f8-b1c1-741ba057cabf

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Phase 1: Fetch Monitor Report

Call get_monitor_report with:

• monitor_uuid: the UUID from $ARGUMENTS
• max_incidents: 50

If the tool returns an error or empty result, tell the user the monitor was not found and stop.

Also fetch the monitor's full config via get_monitors with:

• monitor_ids: [{monitor_uuid}]
• include_fields: [config]

Run both calls in parallel.

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Phase 1.5: Determine Monitor Type and Load Reference

From the get_monitors config response, determine the monitor type:

Config indicator	Type	Reference file
Monitor type is a metric monitor variant (e.g., metric, field health)	Metric	references/metric-monitor.md
Monitor type is a custom SQL rule / custom monitor	Custom SQL	references/custom-sql-monitor.md
Monitor type is a validation rule / validation monitor	Validation	references/validation-monitor.md
Monitor type is a table monitor (freshness, volume, schema across tables)	Table	references/table-monitor.md

Read the appropriate reference file using the Read tool with the path relative to this skill file. The reference contains type-specific config fields to extract, recommendation guidance, and apply-changes instructions.

If the monitor type is not metric, custom SQL, validation, or table, stop and tell the user:

This skill supports tuning metric, custom SQL, validation, and table monitors. This monitor is a {type} monitor, which is not supported.

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Phase 2: Analyze the Report

Analyze the monitor report and config together. Focus on:

2a. Alert volume & frequency

• How many incidents in the last 30 days? Last 7 days?
• What is the firing cadence — multiple times per day? Daily? Sporadic?
• Are incidents clustered in time (bursts) or spread evenly?

2b. Anomaly patterns

• Which segments (field values) are firing most? Are they the same segments repeatedly?
• Are anomalies consistently marginal (just above threshold) or severe?
• Are any anomalies from sparse/bursty event types that naturally spike?
• Are anomalies caused by known operational events (deployments, batch jobs, bulk user actions)?
• For validation monitors: how many invalid rows per incident? Is the count stable or growing?
• For table monitors: which (table, metric) pairs are firing most? Are they the same repeatedly?

2c. Current configuration

Extract the current configuration. The specific fields to look for are documented in the per-type reference loaded in Phase 1.5. At minimum, extract:

• Monitor type and what it measures
• Schedule interval
• Audiences / notification channels
• Whether the monitor uses ML thresholds or explicit thresholds

2d. Troubleshooting analysis (if available)

Look at any troubleshooting TL;DRs in the report. Note:

• Are most anomalies assessed as "likely normal data variation"?
• Are there recurring root causes?
• Is there a blind spot (e.g., no upstream metadata)?

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Phase 3: Generate Recommendations

Based on the analysis, produce a prioritized list of recommendations. For each recommendation:

• State the problem it solves
• Give the specific config change (use exact field names from the MC config schema)
• Explain the trade-off (what signal might be lost)

General recommendations (all monitor types)

Sensitivity tuning (ML thresholds only)

This applies to any monitor that uses ML thresholds — both metric monitors and custom SQL monitors. Skip this section for validation monitors (they don't use ML thresholds), for table monitors (they have their own per-metric sensitivity — see the table monitor reference), and for monitors with explicit thresholds (for custom SQL monitors, see threshold adjustment in the per-type reference instead).

• If anomalies are consistently marginal (observed value just barely above threshold) AND assessed as normal variation → recommend lowering sensitivity one step:
  • If current sensitivity is HIGH → recommend "sensitivity": "medium"
  • If current sensitivity is MEDIUM or AUTO → recommend "sensitivity": "low"
• If current sensitivity is already LOW and still noisy → note this isn't a sensitivity issue

Schedule / interval

• If the monitor fires multiple times per day but anomalies always resolve within hours → recommend increasing schedule interval (e.g., from 720 min to 1440 min) to reduce duplicate alerts
• If anomalies are caused by data arriving late → recommend increasing collection_lag

Snooze / training period

• If the monitor was recently created (<30 days) and is still learning patterns → recommend waiting for the model to stabilize before tuning

Audience / notification routing

• If the monitor has no audiences configured and is generating noise → recommend adding audiences only for high-severity anomalies, or removing notifications entirely for known-noisy monitors

Type-specific recommendations

For type-specific recommendations (WHERE conditions, segment exclusion, aggregation changes, threshold adjustment, SQL modifications, alert condition modifications, per-table-metric sensitivity tuning), follow the guidance in the per-type reference loaded in Phase 1.5.

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Phase 4: Present the Report

Output a structured analysis. This is the primary output — include it in full.

## Monitor Tune Report: {monitor_uuid}

**Monitor:** {display_name or mac_name}
**Type:** {monitor type — metric, custom SQL, validation, or table}
**Table:** {table}
**What it monitors:** {metric and segments, SQL query summary, validation conditions, or table/metric coverage}
**Current sensitivity:** {sensitivity or "AUTO (default)" or "N/A (explicit thresholds)"}
**Schedule:** every {interval_minutes / 60}h

### Alert Summary (last 30 days)
- Total alerts: {count}
- Firing frequency: {e.g., "~twice daily", "daily", "sporadic"}
- Most noisy segments: {top 2-3 segment values by alert count, or N/A for custom SQL/validation}
- Most noisy (table, metric) pairs: {for table monitors: top pairs by anomaly count}

### Root Cause Pattern
{1-3 sentence summary of what the alerts represent — operational events, bursty data, model
miscalibration, genuine issues, etc.}

### Recommendations

#### 1. {Highest-impact change} [RECOMMENDED]
**Problem:** ...
**Change:**
```yaml
{specific config field}: {new value}

Trade-off: ...

2. {Second change} [OPTIONAL]

...

3. {Third change} [OPTIONAL]

...

What NOT to change

{Any configurations that look correct and should be left alone — avoid over-tuning.}

If these changes are made

{Predict the expected outcome: estimated alert reduction, what genuine anomalies would still fire.}

**Next step:** "Want me to apply any of these changes to the monitor config, or explore the alert
history further?"

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## Phase 5: Apply Changes (if user requests)

To apply changes, follow the apply-changes instructions in the per-type reference loaded in
Phase 1.5. Each reference specifies the correct tool and constraints for that monitor type.

General rules for all types:
1. **Always preview first** — show the user what will change before applying.
2. **Get explicit confirmation** before applying any change.

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## Guidelines

- **Be specific.** Generic advice like "reduce sensitivity" is less useful than exact config changes.
- **Prefer surgical changes.** A targeted WHERE condition beats a blunt sensitivity reduction.
- **Preserve signal.** Always explain what genuine anomalies would still be caught after tuning.
- **Cite evidence.** Reference specific incident dates, segment values, and counts from the report.
- **Degrade gracefully.** If troubleshooting runs are missing, note the limited context and
  reason from alert patterns alone.